UK firms brace for new 10% US tariff as Klarna slumps; UK surplus and eurozone PMI point to a turn

Ellie Sutton

Thrive News Briefing

Will Daniels: Trade policy snapped back. The US Supreme Court clipped legacy duties. Washington moved to a new 10% global tariff. UK and European firms face pricing shocks and refund complexities. Fintech is repricing on credit costs and regulation. The UK’s fiscal picture firmed, while eurozone manufacturing shows a turn.

Insights

Trump pivots to new 10% global tariff, with fresh probes after Supreme Court setback

Following a Supreme Court ruling against prior duties, the White House ordered a temporary 10% tariff on all imports and signalled new Section 301 investigations. UK exporters and importers to the US face immediate cost and margin pressure. Source: Reuters

Uncertainty for UK firms after US tariff ruling

Experts warn of complex refunds and pricing resets after the court decision. Boards should map exposure, revisit contracts, and hedge FX and freight. Source: BBC News – Business

UK takes key step to digital gilt issuance this year

The Treasury advances work on tokenised government bonds. It signals modernisation in market infrastructure and settlement. Source: Financial Times

Eurozone manufacturing PMI hits a 44‑month high

Momentum improves across the bloc. If sustained, investors may rotate to cyclicals and industrials. Source: Euronews

UK reaches a record January surplus on stronger tax receipts

Higher receipts delivered a record surplus. It sets a firmer backdrop for the March statement and gilt supply strategy. Source: BBC News – Business

OpenAI expects about $600bn of compute spend by 2030

An AI capex supercycle looms across chips, power, and data centres. Energy and grid planning in Europe becomes more strategic. Source: Reuters

UK agrees drone defence plan with four EU allies

A joint framework for drone defence is in place. Procurement and sovereign tech investment will follow. Source: BBC News – Business

The EU considers a more muscular economic policy mix

Brussels moves toward tighter screening and targeted support to crowd in private capital and bolster resilience. Source: The Economist

Markets

Klarna stock sinks 27% as bad loans surge

Credit losses are biting BNPL economics. Funding and valuations across European fintech are tightening. Source: Financial Times

Diageo and Burberry rally after tariff ruling

Luxury and spirits gain on hopes for tariff relief. US revenue exposure drives the moves. Source: CityAM

US GDP drops to 1.4% in Q4 2025

Growth slows sharply. It raises recession risk talk and weighs on global cyclicals. Source: Investment Week

Aston Martin issues a fresh profit warning; sells F1 naming rights for £50m

Brand monetisation provides cash, but demand looks patchy in high‑capex luxury auto. Source: Business Matters Magazine

BlackRock small‑cap trusts to merge in £780m deal

Consolidation boosts scale and may support fee efficiency for investors. Source: Investment Week

Build

Starling to sell software in the US

The bank targets growth by exporting its tech stack. It’s a low‑capital path via SaaS and BaaS. Source: Financial Times

BNPL faces a £3bn hit from UK regulatory reset

FCA rules will tighten underwriting and reduce fee income. Expect consolidation and slower growth. Source: CityAM

PayPal replaces its chief to speed product and AI

Board signals urgency. Competitive pressure from wallets and super‑apps is rising. Source: Financial Times

MaXon Systems secures funding for autonomous air defence

European defence tech scales up against drone swarm threats. Procurement opportunities will grow. Source: Tech.eu

Stories

eBay buys Depop for about €1bn

Resale strengthens as fashion recommerce grows. Pricing shows a discount to 2021 levels, pointing to a more rational market. Source: Euronews

Robot slicers in UK kebab chain

Automation tackles labour costs and consistency. It’s a scale lever in fast casual. Source: The Guardian

Best Sunday roasts in London

High‑end comfort dining holds demand. Hospitality targets affluent city weekends. Source: Conde Nast Traveller

Safari lodges blend wildlife and wellness

Premium travel evolves around purpose and recovery. It aligns with affluent consumer values. Source: Conde Nast Traveller

Community

ONS complains to the BBC over “Industry” impersonation

Media accuracy is in focus. Public trust in data and institutions matters for markets. Source: The Guardian

Pensions top employees’ benefit preferences

Retention strategies shift to long‑term value. SMEs should revisit benefit design and communication. Source: Startups.co.uk

Short‑form video dominates UK content consumption

Marketers pivot budgets to creators and short video formats to capture attention. Source: EU Business News

UN rights chief calls for inclusive, accountable AI

Governance pressure builds. Boards should align AI programmes with global standards and reporting. Source: The European Sting

Conclusion

Trade volatility is back. UK boards should stress‑test US exposure, lock in hedges, and track refund flows. Fintech is in a tougher credit and regulatory regime. Policy tailwinds at home offer some support, while luxury bifurcates between asset‑light brands and capital‑heavy autos.

Tags: insights, europe, policy, trade, supply-chain, markets, equities, risk, fintech, investment, wealth, innovation, ai, regulation, startups, luxury, lifestyle, community, media